Let’s get it started

By:  Lionel Hutz
November 6, 2014 5:38 am | Category: Weather

Let’s get it started!

As I type this a storm system is dropping out of the great lakes and moving east. The primary center of the low will move into Pennsylvania and then swing through NJ and strengthen upon interaction with the coastal baroclinic zone.

This is a similar to the track low pressure took last weekend.The difference is that as the low pressure center digs southeast it will a) not go into the Carolinas and b) will redevelop along the coast further north and west. The system will then track just offshore of Connecticut, Mass and Maine.

Here, lookie:

output_XVJi0g

As the system rolls through, it will bring precip to the higher elevations (and maybe even lower elevations briefly). First, tonight warm air advection on south winds will bring a steady rain that will change over to snow above 2500 feet by early nighttime. Winds will be from the south as the system is to our southwest and south. Then as we move towards daybreak on Friday the system will bring precipitation on North and Northwest winds as it moves northeast to our east. Temps will fall Friday as the system pulls out. There will be a period of calm between the departing system and the advection of some cold moist air behind the system later friday. This air could spark some additional upslope accumulations.

Overall the models are fairly moist with this system.

12 hour totals by tomorrow AM:

Storm totals

However temps will be marginal and some snow that falls will be consumed by unfrozen wet ground. That said it is highly likely that elevations above 2500 feet will see 3-7″ of dense wet snow from this system with the potential for several more inches up orographic precipitation Friday into Saturday. (Of course this makes perfect sense since I’m out of town Friday into Saturday…… FML)

So there you go. Let’s get started.

Related Stuff:

  1. I’m back and I (might) have brought some snow.
  2. Upper Level Low putting the ULL in Ullr? (Update as of 1pm Tuesday)
  3. A few more days of Brrrrmont, then….
  4. February Thaw: A taste of spring or the intermission?
  5. POW!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! OMG POW!!!!!!!!!! (Updated: Friday 10:30 – at bottom-)
  6. Rinse and Repeat? Don’t Think So. But Snows First!

10 Comments

  1. Skrilla Gorilla
    wrote on November 6th, 2014 at 6:35 am  
    • Skrilla Gorilla
      wrote on November 6th, 2014 at 6:54 am  
      2

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    • Greg
      wrote on November 6th, 2014 at 7:55 am  
      3

      Shows you how much we care about keeping the monetization part of this site up to date #wedothisbecausewelikeit

  2. bushman
    wrote on November 6th, 2014 at 7:32 am  
    4

    yup going to hike up. 3-7 is good; more is better but will take it for this early, 2 runs to recall muscles from May

    Respond to this comment/comment thread
    • Greg
      wrote on November 6th, 2014 at 7:53 am  
      5

      Would love to meet up if you’ll be in Stowe early. Enjoy!

    • bushman
      wrote on November 7th, 2014 at 8:22 am  
      6

      Greg, thanks for the invite. Cannot make it to Stowe this WE but maybe later. NWS reports light snow this AM at JPeak so I expect it’s same at Stowe

  3. Peter
    wrote on November 6th, 2014 at 9:05 am  
  4. mtl_ripper
    wrote on November 6th, 2014 at 10:17 am  
    8

    YES OH YES, the dreams awaken

    Respond to this comment/comment thread
  5. Peter
    wrote on November 9th, 2014 at 6:18 pm  
    9

    How much is going to fall at Magic? What about Loon?

    Respond to this comment/comment thread
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